Yuki the Snowbear

Japan Snow Outlook 2026/27 — Regional Dec–Feb Snowfall vs the 10-Year Average, Benchmarked Against Whistler, Val Thorens and Obertauern

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Snow Outlook
Dec 2026 – Feb 2027 · vs 1991–2020 average

Japan's snow outlook, Dec 2026 – Feb 2027

JMA's seasonal outlook leans below normal across every snow-belt region this winter. That mostly shows up as timing, not total snowpack: December typically supplies well under a third of the season's snow here — the bulk falls Jan–Feb — so a slow, warm start is the real risk, not a thin season overall.

Even on a below-normal estimate, Japan's heaviest regions clear Val Thorens and Obertauern several times over, and sit close to or above Whistler — on a station-average floor that undercounts true resort-base snowfall (see the caveat below). Tap a bar-chart marker on the map for the full numbers.

Map shading — JMA's own colour scale
40% below-normal 50% below-normal No data / near-normal

Orange = below-normal, blue = above-normal, darker = higher probability — pixel-matched to JMA's live seasonal outlook map, not a reinterpretation.

Will my trip have good snow?

Pick a resort and a month — see its region's normal and 2026/27 estimate against Whistler, Val Thorens and Obertauern.

Niseko United · February · using the Hokkaido (Japan Sea side) outlook (close match)
14513910-yr avg'26/27 est.Whistler Blackcomb (Canada) 147Obertauern (Austria) 126Val Thorens (France) 91

This region ranks #2 of 6 Japan regions shown for february, and its 2026/27 estimate (139 cm) still clears 2 of 3 global benchmarks (Val Thorens, Obertauern) — behind Whistler Blackcomb (147 cm).

10-yr avg '26/27 est.
Chart key
10-yr average (1991–2020) 2026/27 estimate (JMA outlook-weighted)Whistler Blackcomb, Canada — benchmark line (~490 cm Dec–Feb)Val Thorens, France — benchmark line (~260 cm Dec–Feb)Obertauern, Austria — benchmark line (~360 cm Dec–Feb)
■ 10-yr avg■ '26/27 est.- - Whistler Blackcomb- - Val Thorens- - Obertauern